Science-based energy forecasts for a changing world
We forecast the most likely global and regional energy transition trajectory based on DNV’s independent model of the world's energy systems.
Discover our main reports
Latest insights
Asia Pacific's clean hydrogen future: diverging pathways, shared challenges
The Asia Pacific region (APAC) is home to the world’s largest hydrogen growth market
The growing tail of oil demand destruction
Shortly after the US and Israeli strikes on Iran, a consensus formed
China's hydrogen play: scale today, energy security tomorrow
China is undeterred by global headwinds facing hydrogen and its derivatives. In our new Hydrogen to 2060 forecast, we find around 35% of new hydrogen production and use globally will come from China over the coming decades.
Europe's hydrogen pathway: Slower growth, sharper focus
DNV’s new hydrogen report forecasts European demand to more than treble by 2060. But significant technical, policy, regulatory and commercial challenges remain.
Hydrogen demand drives North American exports
Low-carbon hydrogen in North America is entering a more pragmatic phase. DNV’s Energy Transition Outlook: Hydrogen to 2060 shows that long-term demand, both domestic and international, will determine how hydrogen scales across the region.
The likely effects of the Iran war on the global energy transition
The Iran war has unleashed the biggest fossil supply shock in decades. The net long-term result appears to be a boost for renewables and nuclear as, in most countries, the incompatibility of oil and gas dependency with energy security is now beyond dispute.
Critical mineral supply shocks and their consequences for the energy transition
As renewables penetrate ever deeper into national energy systems, it is time to consider the short- and long-run impacts of upstream supply shocks in seemingly well-supplied markets like copper and lithium.
Are Paris goals achievable? How the energy transition measures up
In this article, we compare climate targets against emission levels forecast in DNV’s Energy Transition Outlook 2025 (ETO 2025). We project Europe to be the first region to reach net zero and examine how it can close the gap to reach the target by 2050.
Chart of the Month - August 2026
A central finding of the Energy Transition Outlook 2025 is that the world is moving from an age of energy addition to an age of energy transition. Read more.
